HCET: Hierarchical Clinical Embedding With Topic Modeling on Electronic Health Records for Predicting Future Depression

Recent developments in machine learning algorithms have enabled models to exhibit impressive performance in healthcare tasks using electronic health record (EHR) data. However, the heterogeneous nature and sparsity of EHR data remains challenging. In this work, we present a model that utilizes heterogeneous data and addresses sparsity by representing diagnoses, procedures, and medication codes with temporal Hierarchical Clinical Embeddings combined with Topic modeling (HCET) on clinical notes. HCET aggregates various categories of EHR data and learns inherent structure based on hospital visits for an individual patient. We demonstrate the potential of the approach in the task of predicting depression at various time points prior to a clinical diagnosis. We found that HCET outperformed all baseline methods with a highest improvement of 0.07 in precision-recall area under the curve (PRAUC). Furthermore, applying attention weights across EHR data modalities significantly improved the performance as well as the model's interpretability by revealing the relative weight for each data modality. Our results demonstrate the model's ability to utilize heterogeneous EHR information to predict depression, which may have future implications for screening and early detection.